Türkiye vs Belgium Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

By Vavada UK Tips Desk · Published 10 Nov 2026 · UEFA Nations League · odds are a snapshot and may change

Türkiye host Belgium in the UEFA Nations League on Thursday 12 November 2026, with kick-off at 17:00 UK time. The two sides are separated by six points in the table. Belgium sit third with 6 points, while Türkiye are fourth with none from four games. Belgium are the market favourites, and the question is whether the price already reflects how one-sided the recent evidence looks.

Recent form

Türkiye's form reads LLLLW, with the latest result first. Their last five games:

• 26 June: beat the United States 3-2
• 25 September: lost to France 1-0
• 28 September: lost to Italy 4-1
• 2 October: lost to Belgium 3-0
• 5 October: lost to Italy 3-1

That is four straight defeats since the win over the United States.

Belgium's form is LWLWL, so they have alternated results:

• 10 July: lost to Spain 2-1
• 25 September: beat Italy 2-0
• 28 September: lost to France 1-0
• 2 October: beat Türkiye 3-0
• 5 October: lost to France 4-1

They have won two of their last five, and both wins came against sides Türkiye have also faced. Belgium's most recent game was a heavy defeat, so they are not in flawless form.

League position and season so far

Türkiye have a record of 0-0-4 in the competition. They have 0 points and a goal difference of -9, the worst figure in the data we have. Belgium's record is 2-0-2, giving 6 points from four games and a goal difference of +1.

Belgium's goal difference is only slightly positive, which fits their two defeats. Türkiye's -9 shows they have been losing by wide margins. Their Nations League defeats include 4-1 and 3-1 against Italy and 3-0 against Belgium.

Head-to-head

The sides met most recently on 2 October 2026, when Belgium won 3-0. We have no scores for the earlier meetings, which were in June 2011, September 2010, October 2009 and September 2008, so we won't draw conclusions from them. The October result is the only head-to-head evidence we can use.

Odds analysis

The market feed has these decimal odds: Türkiye 3.55, draw 3.85, Belgium 1.83, with the goals line at 3.5. Odds can change before kick-off, so check them before you bet.

The raw implied probabilities add up to about 108.8%. That excess is the bookmaker's margin, and the final column scales each figure back to 100%. On that basis the market gives Belgium roughly a 50% chance.

Belgium at 1.83 is short for a team that lost 4-1 in their last outing. Against that, Türkiye have no points, lost 3-0 to this opponent a few weeks ago, and have conceded heavily. We think the favourite's price is fair rather than generous. The draw at 3.85 looks the least likely outcome given Türkiye's record, although they have not been beaten 1-0 or 2-0 in every game.

Our prediction

Main pick: Belgium to win (1.83). Türkiye are winless in the competition with a -9 goal difference, and Belgium beat them 3-0 on 2 October. Belgium have 6 points and have won both of their games against Italy and Türkiye. The price is not big, but the evidence points the same way.

Alternative bet: over 3.5 goals. Türkiye's last five games produced 5, 1, 5, 3 and 4 goals in total, so three of the five went over 3.5. Belgium's last five produced 3, 2, 1, 3 and 5, so only one went over. The line is demanding, and we were not given a price for it, so only back it if the odds look right to you.

FAQ

Who will win Türkiye vs Belgium?

Belgium are our pick. They have 6 points to Türkiye's 0 and won the 2 October meeting 3-0. The market agrees, rating them at roughly 50% after the margin is removed.

What time does Türkiye vs Belgium kick off?

Kick-off is at 17:00 UK time on Thursday 12 November 2026, in the UEFA Nations League.

What are the best odds for Türkiye vs Belgium?

The feed shows Belgium at 1.83, the draw at 3.85 and Türkiye at 3.55, with a goals line of 3.5. Prices can move, so compare bookmakers before you bet.

Bet responsibly, 18+ only, and visit BeGambleAware.org for free help and support.