Armenia vs Cyprus Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips
By Vavada UK Tips Desk · Published 10 Nov 2026 · UEFA Nations League · odds are a snapshot and may change
Armenia host Cyprus in the UEFA Nations League on Thursday 12 November 2026, with kick-off at 17:00 UK time. Cyprus sit second in the table on 7 points. Armenia are third on 4 points, so the home side can close the gap with a win. The bookmakers still make Armenia narrow favourites. Cyprus beat them 2-0 only last month, so that price deserves a closer look.
Recent form
Armenia have a mixed form line of DLLWD, with the most recent result first. Their last five matches:
- 5 Oct: Montenegro 0-0 Armenia (D)
- 2 Oct: Cyprus 2-0 Armenia (L)
- 28 Sep: Armenia 2-3 Montenegro (L)
- 25 Sep: Armenia 2-0 Latvia (W)
- 9 Jun: Armenia 1-1 Moldova (D)
They have scored in three of those five games. One of them was a 3-2 defeat, so their results have been decided by narrow margins.
Cyprus arrive in better shape, with a form line of WWDLW:
- 5 Oct: Cyprus 2-1 Latvia (W)
- 2 Oct: Cyprus 2-0 Armenia (W)
- 28 Sep: Latvia 0-0 Cyprus (D)
- 25 Sep: Montenegro 2-1 Cyprus (L)
- 7 Jun: Liechtenstein 0-2 Cyprus (W)
Cyprus have won three of their last five and have scored in four of them.
League position and season so far
| Team | Pos | Pts | Played | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cyprus | 2 | 7 | 4 | +2 |
| Armenia | 3 | 4 | 4 | -1 |
Cyprus have won two, drawn one and lost one of their four Nations League games. Armenia have won one, drawn one and lost two. Three points separate the sides, and the goal difference gap is also three. A win for Armenia would move them level with Cyprus on points. A Cyprus win would stretch the gap to six.
Head-to-head
The two sides have met three times on the dates we have: 13 November 2017, 28 March 2023 and 2 October 2026. We don't have the scores for the first two. The most recent meeting went to Cyprus, who won 2-0 with Armenia the visitors. Thursday gives Armenia a chance to answer that result.
Odds analysis
The market feed has Armenia at 2.25, the draw at 3.20 and Cyprus at 3.05. Odds can change, so check before you bet.
| Outcome | Odds | Implied probability | Adjusted for margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Armenia win | 2.25 | 44.4% | 40.9% |
| Draw | 3.20 | 31.3% | 28.8% |
| Cyprus win | 3.05 | 32.8% | 30.2% |
The three raw probabilities add up to about 108.5%. The extra 8.5% is the bookmaker's margin. Once that is stripped out, Armenia are rated at roughly 41%, Cyprus at roughly 30% and the draw at roughly 29%.
That makes Armenia favourites, yet Cyprus have the better form, the higher league position and the win in the last meeting. If you think Cyprus are closer to Armenia than the market suggests, 3.05 is where the potential value sits.
Our prediction
Main pick: Cyprus to win at 3.05.
- Cyprus have won three of their last five and are second in the table.
- They beat Armenia 2-0 on 2 October.
- Armenia have lost two of their last four in the league, including a 3-2 defeat to Montenegro, and have not won in their last three.
- The market gives Cyprus only about a 30% chance. We think the gap between the sides is smaller than the odds suggest.
Alternative bet: under 2.5 goals. Only three of the ten recent matches across both teams produced three or more goals: Armenia's 3-2 against Montenegro and Cyprus's two 2-1 wins. Armenia drew 0-0 in their last outing and Cyprus drew 0-0 in one of their last three. We have no odds for this market, so check the price at your bookmaker before betting.
FAQ
Who will win Armenia vs Cyprus?
The bookmakers make Armenia slight favourites at 2.25. We prefer Cyprus at 3.05 because of their stronger form and their 2-0 win in the last meeting.
What time does Armenia vs Cyprus kick off?
Kick-off is at 17:00 UK time on Thursday 12 November 2026, in the UEFA Nations League.
What are the best odds for Armenia vs Cyprus?
The feed shows Armenia at 2.25, the draw at 3.20 and Cyprus at 3.05. Prices change, so compare bookmakers before you place a bet.
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